Macro Mondays

A Regime Shift in Volatile Times

29 snips
Feb 10, 2026
They unpack a macro regime shift where growth may rise even as inflation stays muted. They trace how a silver crash spilled volatility across assets and why precious metals may be losing favor. They discuss a capex-led cyclical upswing, rotations into cyclicals like industrials and energy, and political signals shaping crypto and space tech risks.
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INSIGHT

Fed Views Track Political Color

  • Kevin Walsh's public stance shifts with the party in power, showing policy alignment more than fixed ideology.
  • Andreas Steno Larsen sees Walsh's role as enabling private-sector-led money creation alongside the administration.
ADVICE

Manage Risk After A Volatility Shock

  • Expect volatility in one asset (like silver) to raise measured risk across portfolios and trigger broader de-risking.
  • Reduce position sizes or hedge when a volatility shock in a correlated asset class occurs to protect value at risk.
INSIGHT

Growth Returns While Inflation Softens

  • The macro regime has shifted from 'QE-like' to 'gung-ho' as cyclical growth returns while inflation stays low.
  • That mix favors a rotation into consumer discretionary and certain tech names tied to spending power recovery.
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