Bulwark Takes

This Is How the GOP Starts to Crack

9 snips
Mar 24, 2026
Tim Miller, political commentator known for sharp analysis of Republican politics, breaks down rising GOP fractures and why MAGA voices struggle to defend a war with no clear aim. He discusses why initial polling on Trump’s Iran war may mask coming voter backlash, the chaos from ICE at airports, looming Supreme Court fights over mail-in deadlines, Epstein prosecution failures, and reactions to Robert Mueller’s death.
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ANECDOTE

ICE Agents 'Covering Exits' At Airports

  • ICE deployment at airports produced examples of agents performing trivial tasks like 'cover[ing] an exit' rather than useful enforcement.
  • Miller played Tom Homan's quote about 'a highly trained ICE officer can cover an exit' to show the performative, wasteful nature of the deployment.
ANECDOTE

ICE Confrontation With Traveler At SFO

  • Video from San Francisco shows ICE agents confronting a U.S. citizen traveling with her young daughter and wresting her to the ground.
  • Miller recounts the witness account and describes the encounter as menacing and harassing at baggage claim.
INSIGHT

Polls Are Lagging On Iran Backlash

  • MAGA polling support for Trump's Iran actions currently looks strong but is likely to weaken over time as costs hit voters.
  • Tim Miller argues polling lags and rising gas/grocery costs plus unclear objectives will erode MAGA and broader GOP support within weeks to months.
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