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SaaS Apocalypse, 18-Month Bear Market & Bitcoin vs Quantum

20 snips
Feb 17, 2026
They debate whether hyperscalers should build or rent AI infrastructure and what that means for data-center landlords. They predict mega-cap tech could swallow SaaS revenue as AI tools move in-house. They discuss a possible 18-month crypto bear market and how to trade value versus momentum. They explain the Bitcoin vs quantum computing risk and potential chain forking as a solution.
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ANECDOTE

Glencore Versus VTL: Asset‑Light Wins

  • Jonah tells the Glencore to VTL analogy: asset‑heavy midstream firms implode while asset‑light models thrive.
  • He warns midstream firms that try partial vertical integration often destroy shareholder returns.
INSIGHT

Why Hyperscalers Should Own Data Centers

  • Midstream compute landlords face rapid depreciation and cyclical returns unlike vertically integrated hyperscalers.
  • Google, Amazon and Microsoft justify owning data centers because internal demand extracts extra optionality from assets.
INSIGHT

The SaaSpocalypse Benefits Mega Caps

  • AI will let large tech firms insource many SaaS functions, collapsing revenues for B2B vendors.
  • Those savings will flow back into mega-cap profits, making mega-cap tech the best trade in current conditions.
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