The Jacob Shapiro Podcast

Pissing in the Public Pool

Aug 8, 2025
A deep dive into the political turbulence surrounding employment data unfolds as they explore Trump's firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics head. The duo highlights the fragility of public statistics amidst AI advancements and political interference. They discuss the value and commoditization of data and its implications for public trust in an information-saturated world. Wrapping up, they unravel the baffling shifts in U.S.-India trade policy, questioning the evolving landscape of geopolitical dynamics.
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
ANECDOTE

1920s BLS Clash With Hoover

  • Jacob recounts Ethelbert Stewart, BLS commissioner from 1921–1932, who clashed with Herbert Hoover over independence and was forcibly retired.
  • That historical case shows political pressure on statistical agencies is not new but can be consequential.
INSIGHT

Politicization Drives Talent Away

  • Politicizing statistical agencies deters expert talent and reduces institutional quality over time.
  • Jacob Shapiro warns statisticians will leave if told to massage numbers for political narratives.
INSIGHT

CPI Inputs Are Increasingly Modeled

  • A substantial share of CPI inputs are now modeled rather than directly measured because of staffing cuts.
  • Jacob Shapiro warns prolonged modeling could degrade CPI accuracy and the data's directional value.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app