How I Invest with David Weisburd

E246: Private Equity in 2025: Fees, Rates, and the Law of Large Numbers

Nov 20, 2025
Nolan Bean, Chief Investment Officer at FEG Investment Advisors, dives into the current landscape of private equity. He argues that large buyouts are struggling due to high entry multiples and rising capital, while the lower middle-market still offers great opportunities with founder-led deals. Nolan discusses the risks associated with small-company investments, the impact of 401(k) access to private markets, and the shrinking liquidity premium. He also emphasizes the importance of relationships in investing and advocating for a proactive, crisis-oriented investment strategy.
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ADVICE

Manage Lower-Middle-Market Fragility

  • Choose GPs skilled at operating small businesses and ready to manage client concentration and key-person risks.
  • Accept fragility risk in small firms but offset it by partnering with experienced operators.
INSIGHT

Factors Don't Fully Explain Private Equity Alpha

  • Factor models (Fama-French) explain some private equity returns, but operational alpha in lower middle-market persists beyond those factors.
  • Public small-cap value has underperformed recently, so private lower-middle deals captured returns public factors missed.
INSIGHT

Public Small Caps Are Adversely Selected

  • The public small-cap universe shrank as companies stay private longer, creating adverse selection among public small caps.
  • There are far more privately owned businesses, so public small caps no longer represent the full small-company opportunity set.
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