Prof Jiang’s Predictive History (The Story of Civilization, Secret History, Game Theory and more) Game Theory #15: The Return of History
Mar 25, 2026
A wide-ranging tour of geopolitical shifts from Pax Americana to emerging regional blocs. Discussions cover surveillance, dollar dominance, and how oil and undersea cables underpin global trade. Talks contrast efficiency with resilience, warn about food and water vulnerabilities, and explore societal shifts toward community, spirituality, and demographic power transfers.
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Fertilizer Trade Sustains 8 Billion People
- Global food security depends on petrochemical fertilizers (ammonia from natural gas/oil); many regions (yellow/red) rely on imported fertilizer to feed large populations.
- Cutting fertilizer exports would rapidly threaten food supply in Africa, Central Asia, and parts of South America.
Scarcity Plus Repression Predicts Conflict
- Countries with food/water scarcity and low freedom are the most likely flashpoints for conflict and revolution.
- Maps show Africa and the Middle East concentrated in scarcity and war, predicting migration and instability escalation.
Deurbanize To Improve National Resilience
- Reduce megacity vulnerability by decentralizing populations to the countryside to increase food self-sufficiency and resilience.
- Mr./Prof. Jiang warns India and China megacities are risky because they depend on food/water imports and energy.