
Unhedged The ‘big beautiful’ budget vs the bond market
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May 27, 2025 The discussion kicks off with President Trump’s 'big beautiful' budget and its implications for deficit spending. Experts analyze how this could shake up the bond market, especially with rising yields and investor anxieties. A lively debate unfolds around the euro's potential rise as an international reserve currency. The hosts inject humor by critiquing the trend of alcohol in bookstores, raising questions about financial sustainability. All this is wrapped in historical parallels to past budget crises, making for an engaging and insightful conversation.
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Uncertain US Debt Ceiling
- The US debt ceiling is uncertain and can be higher than household debt ratios.
- Unlike individuals, the government can print money and raise taxes to manage debt.
Tax Cuts Mask True Deficit Costs
- The bill extends many temporary tax cuts from 2017, lowering costs on paper.
- However, most expect these tax cuts to be extended again, making them effectively permanent.
Medicaid Cuts Controversial
- The bill cuts mainly target Medicaid but overall are more spendy than cutty.
- The measure displeases Republicans for insufficient cuts and Democrats for potential healthcare losses.
