The Herd with Colin Cowherd Sharp or Square - EARLY 2026 NFL SEASON WIN TOTALS - Part 1
Mar 4, 2026
Early 2026 NFL season win totals get unpacked with sharp debates about ten teams listed at 10.5. They break down Buffalo’s chances in the AFC East, Kansas City’s outlook depending on Mahomes’ return, and Baltimore’s coaching questions. Seattle’s ability to repeat and divisional value for teams like Green Bay, Denver, and the Chargers are hot topics.
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Buy Early Overs For Elite Quarterbacks
- Bet timing matters: take early overs on teams with elite quarterbacks when totals look low.
- Simon urges buying Buffalo's 10.5 because Josh Allen plus a weak division make this a strong early-over play.
Fade Teams With Persistent Offensive Line Problems
- Avoid laying juice on teams with lingering injury or OL issues; take the under instead.
- Simon highlights Detroit's chronic O-line failures and injury luck as reasons he bet the under at 10.5.
Mahomes Health Dominates Chiefs Market
- The Mahomes timeline is the decisive variable for the Chiefs' total movement.
- Chad and Simon note that Mahomes' availability could flip the 10.5 line quickly and makes early plays risky.
