Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

All Bubbles End - So You'd Better Have Some Liquidity | David Rosenberg

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Oct 26, 2025
David Rosenberg, an esteemed economist and founder of Rosenberg Research, shares his insights on the current market dynamics. He warns that we are in a significant price bubble reminiscent of the DotCom era and emphasizes the need for investors to maintain liquidity. Discussing the impact of AI on growth, he points out the stagnation in the broader economy. He also highlights risks in residential real estate and the concentrated nature of today's markets. Finally, Rosenberg stresses the importance of risk management strategies as we navigate potential downturns.
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INSIGHT

Economy Is Flat, Not Booming

  • The US economy is effectively flatlining with survey-based data pointing to near-zero growth.
  • David Rosenberg says AI spending masks broader stagnation across most sectors.
INSIGHT

AI Spending Skews Growth

  • AI-related CapEx drives most of the current growth while 92% of the economy lags.
  • Rosenberg warns overcapacity will follow heavy, concentrated AI investment.
INSIGHT

Market Prices Aggressive Future Growth

  • Markets price in reacceleration; current multiples imply very high earnings growth assumptions to 2030.
  • Rosenberg doubts those growth assumptions will materialize and expects mean reversion.
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