GZERO World with Ian Bremmer Could Israel's Gaza gamble be paying off?
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Oct 3, 2025 
Aaron David Miller, a seasoned diplomat and Middle East peace negotiator, dives into Israel's precarious balance of military strength and diplomatic isolation. He discusses how Israel's battlefield victories come at a cost, with global support diminishing as Arab states fear Trump’s influence. Miller highlights the complexities of Gulf Arab positions, the performative responses from Europe regarding Palestinian recognition, and how Netanyahu's reliance on Trump shapes U.S.-Israel relations, revealing long-term risks to Israel's international standing.
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Netanyahu's Reframe Of The Trump Plan
- Miller says Netanyahu reframed Trump's points to claim he achieved his objectives.
- That maneuver makes further negotiations more difficult and strengthens Israel's negotiating posture.
Arab States' Inaction Explained
- Arab states have not imposed tangible costs on Israel despite Gaza's humanitarian catastrophe.
- Miller attributes this to fear of Trump or transactional motives toward the U.S. administration.
Performative European Responses
- European gestures like partial arms measures look performative against large Israeli defense purchases.
- Recognition of Palestine by some European governments likewise signals limited practical pressure.
