Saxo Market Call

It's all about the Strait of Hormuz until it's about something far bigger.

10 snips
Mar 6, 2026
Ruben Dalfovo, Saxo Equity Strategist who analyzes earnings and AI infrastructure trends. He walks through how the Strait of Hormuz disruption could ripple through markets. Quick takes on Broadcom, CrowdStrike, Marvell and Oracle earnings. Also touches on defense re-rating, obesity drug trial fallout and US-China supply chain tensions.
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INSIGHT

Markets Priced For Short Hormuz Disruption

  • Markets are pricing the Strait of Hormuz disruption as short lived, roughly into next week rather than a month.
  • John Hardy cites intelligence and market behavior implying severe supply-chain damage only after ~1 month of closure, not the current window.
INSIGHT

Broadcom Seen As Major AI Infrastructure Winner

  • Broadcom is now viewed as a clear AI infrastructure play with accelerating AI revenue and a $10bn buyback.
  • Ruben Dalfovo notes AI revenue doubled to $8.5bn and management forecasted $10bn next quarter and $100bn by 2027.
INSIGHT

CrowdStrike Growth Versus Nosebleed Valuation

  • CrowdStrike remains a high-growth security compounder even amid AI fears, but valuation is extreme.
  • Ruben highlights ARR at $5.3bn, >20% growth, yet trading near 60x EBITDA — "price to perfection."
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