ChinaTalk Kamil on Nukes and Civil War in Russia
Oct 13, 2022
Kamil Galeev, a former Beijing grad student and expert on Russian politics, delves into the intricate dynamics of the war in Ukraine. He discusses the unsettling prospects of nuclear escalation and evaluates Putin's future amidst elite politics. The conversation extends to social implications of compulsory military mobilization and fears it instills in citizens. Galeev also critiques traditional U.S. strategies towards Russia, proposing a focus on decolonization and addressing the plight of vulnerable minorities amidst ongoing conflict.
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Decolonization Strategy
- The U.S. should focus on decolonizing Russia rather than regime change or de-escalation.
- Engage with regional actors and interest groups beyond Moscow's liberal opposition.
Advice to Russian Elites
- The Russian ruling class should prepare for an impending crisis and consider breaking free from the regime.
- Associating with the current regime is a bad investment, as its value will likely depreciate soon.
Russian Elite Behavior
- Russian elites are not monolithic and pursue their own interests, not solely Putin's.
- Many engage in corrupt practices, prioritizing personal gain over the war effort.