Intelligence Squared Election Breakdown: Can Trump Still Beat Biden?
Nov 5, 2020
Danielle Pletka, a Washington Post commentator and expert on U.S. Middle East policy, joins Josh Glancy, Washington Bureau Chief of The Sunday Times, to dissect the electoral landscape ahead. They delve into candidates' performances in battleground states, polling inaccuracies, and the implications of Trump's claims about election fairness. The discussion also touches on the future of Trumpism within the GOP, the potential for unrest, and how the election might impact U.S. foreign policy, especially regarding China and climate change.
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Pollsters' Failure
- The election surprised many, with Trump performing better than polls predicted and Republicans likely keeping the Senate majority.
- Pollsters are the biggest losers, misjudging public sentiment and contributing to distrust in the media.
Ground vs. Polls
- Josh Glancy, covering his first US election, observed significant enthusiasm for Trump on the ground, contradicting polls.
- He witnessed large, passionate Trump rallies, while Biden's campaign was less visible, potentially influencing the results.
Trump's Narrow Path
- Trump still has a narrow path to victory if he wins Arizona and Pennsylvania, though it's doubtful.
- The trend of close elections in recent years is remarkable, highlighting the divided state of American politics.