Novara Live Trump and Israel Split Erupts Over Gas Field Attacks
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Mar 19, 2026 Andreas Krieg, senior lecturer in security studies at King’s College London, offers expert analysis on regional fallout from attacks on Gulf gas fields. He unpacks the emerging rift between Washington and Jerusalem, possibilities for Gulf state responses, and the limits of US influence over Israeli actions. Short, sharp takes on shifting alliances and strategic calculations.
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Israel Chose Timing Because US Influence Is Eroding
- Krieg says Israel may have rushed a war while American influence wanes; the Israel lobby's coercive power in the U.S. is weakening amid public pushback.
- Netanyahu sought buy-in now because Israeli influence in America may decline over the next five years.
UK Public Overwhelmingly Opposes Joining Iran War
- A YouGov poll found 70% of UK voters oppose joining the U.S. and Israel in war with Iran, complicating Keir Starmer's attempt to use foreign policy to boost ratings.
- Public opposition spans almost all groups except Reform UK voters.
Spain Positions Itself Against War
- Spain's Pedro Sánchez publicly refused to join a war on Iran and framed Spain as a leader for governments opposing the conflict.
- Sánchez used recognition of Palestine as precedent to say Spain is not alone in resisting involvement.