Who will win in 2026 - Gold, Industrial Metals, Bitcoin: A Macro Veteran’s Unfiltered Take

What does a veteran macro investor see that most people are missing heading into 2026? My guest Shengbei, who correctly called the #gold trade, the dollar selloff, and the post-August liquidity squeeze, returns to World Ledger to break down what's really driving markets right now. From gold's decade-long structural tailwind and the de-dollarization quietly reshaping global trade, to why he turned bearish on #bitcoin and #crypto, and what Kevin Warsh as the new Fed chair actually means for liquidity, this conversation cuts through the noise. A must-listen for anyone trying to understand the macro forces moving real assets in 2026.Shengbei is the CEO of New York-based GSB Podium Advisors, with over two decades of experience spanning Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, and senior investment roles at CITIC Securities — one of China's leading financial institutions.(00:15) Introduction and Market Backdrop(01:16) 2025 Review (01:45) February - April 25, Sell Dollar & Risk Assets, Long Gold(02:24) April - August 25: Long U.S. Equity & Crypto(03:28) August 25 - till now: Long Gold & Global Diversification(06:28) Deep Dive U.S. Market’s Changes(07:18) Why Investors Diversifying from U.S. Dollar-backed Assets(08:36) 2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor: Tariff, Liquidity, AI and Credit Issues(11:51) Will Gold Rally Continue and Why(13:46) Gold and Chinese Currency RMB in Global Trade(15:49) China and its U.S. Treasury Holdings(17:51) Why is the dollar weakening(19:25) Which Assets will Benefit from a Weaker Dollar(21:42) Views on Bitcoin and Strategy and Why he is Bearish(24:33) Liquidity Issue and Solutions(28:06) Kevin Warsh, a Good Pick? Why the Market Sell-off? Fed & Treasury Working together?(32:13) Cut or No Cut by Fed

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