
The Next Best Picture Podcast Episode 482 - Our Final Oscar Winner Predictions For The 98th Academy Awards, “I Swear” & “Scary Movie” Trailers
Mar 9, 2026
Guest
Will Mavity
Guest
Giovanni Lago
Guest
Daniel Howitt
Guest
Cody Derricks
Guest
Dan Bayer
Guest
Josh Parham
Will Mavity, awards predictor; Giovanni Lago, film commentator; Daniel Howitt, awards writer; Cody Derricks, critic; Dan Bayer, documentary expert; Josh Parham, film critic. They deliver final Oscar winner predictions across all categories. They debate tight races, craft-heavy contenders, precursor momentum, and react to the trailers for I Swear and Scary Movie.
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Episode notes
I Swear Trailer Reaction And Aramayo's Oscar Chances
- The panel watched the I Swear trailer and noted Robert Aramayo's BAFTA-winning presence may be the film's only Oscar play in the U.S. release window.
- They felt Sony Classics could keep him visible but timing and BAFTA controversy may blunt awards traction.
Editing Predictors Lie In ACE And BAFTA Pairing
- Editing winners correlate with ACE and BAFTA combos; One Battle After Another had the ACE+BAFTA pedigree that usually predicts the Oscar.
- Panel saw editing as a near-lock for One Battle.
Costume Awards Favor Costume Porn Gowns
- Costume voters reward sumptuous, showy gowns and period spectacle; Frankenstein's gowns and flamboyant design made it a lock.
- Panel noted Ruth E. Carter's reputation but still favored Frankenstein's visual scope.
