The Next Best Picture Podcast

Episode 482 - Our Final Oscar Winner Predictions For The 98th Academy Awards, “I Swear” & “Scary Movie” Trailers

Mar 9, 2026
Will Mavity, awards predictor; Giovanni Lago, film commentator; Daniel Howitt, awards writer; Cody Derricks, critic; Dan Bayer, documentary expert; Josh Parham, film critic. They deliver final Oscar winner predictions across all categories. They debate tight races, craft-heavy contenders, precursor momentum, and react to the trailers for I Swear and Scary Movie.
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ANECDOTE

I Swear Trailer Reaction And Aramayo's Oscar Chances

  • The panel watched the I Swear trailer and noted Robert Aramayo's BAFTA-winning presence may be the film's only Oscar play in the U.S. release window.
  • They felt Sony Classics could keep him visible but timing and BAFTA controversy may blunt awards traction.
INSIGHT

Editing Predictors Lie In ACE And BAFTA Pairing

  • Editing winners correlate with ACE and BAFTA combos; One Battle After Another had the ACE+BAFTA pedigree that usually predicts the Oscar.
  • Panel saw editing as a near-lock for One Battle.
INSIGHT

Costume Awards Favor Costume Porn Gowns

  • Costume voters reward sumptuous, showy gowns and period spectacle; Frankenstein's gowns and flamboyant design made it a lock.
  • Panel noted Ruth E. Carter's reputation but still favored Frankenstein's visual scope.
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