Doug Ford has given up on trying to balance the budget
Mar 28, 2026
Discussion of Ontario’s new budget strategy that leans on growth and assumed restraint instead of specific policy choices. A look at Canada reaching the NATO 2% defense spending mark and the massive fiscal implications. Concerns about favouring domestic defense firms and how procurement and political pressures can raise costs and slow acquisitions. A brief note on AI-integred books turning reading into interactive experiences.
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Ford Government Outsources Budget Balance To Growth
- The Ontario budget relies on assumed stronger growth and unspecified future restraint rather than concrete policy changes to return to balance.
- Sean Speer highlights revenues flat, spending up ~3%, and this is the fourth consecutive delay of projected surpluses, calling it a Trudeau-style abdication of fiscal agency.
Defense Buildup Risks Distorting Procurement
- Canada's defense spending is expanding rapidly from ~$30–40B to over $60B and possibly $80B by decade's end, a fiscal expansion comparable to health transfers.
- Sean Speer warns this scale invites region and industry pressures that can distort procurement, raise costs, and misalign military needs with political rewards.
Avoid Prioritizing Domestic Firms In Defense Buys
- Avoid making domestic ownership the primary procurement criterion because it can slow buying, raise costs, and limit access to advanced interoperable systems.
- Sean Speer suggests modest preferences may be justified but warns against privileging Canadian firms at the expense of capability and timing.
