Modern Wisdom #514 - Peter Zeihan - The Old World Order Is About To Collapse
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Aug 18, 2022 
Peter Zeihan, a geopolitical analyst and author, discusses the significant global shifts ahead. He predicts a drastic population decline in China, challenging prospects of globalization despite increased connectivity. The conversation touches on the implications of demographic changes, including food security crises due to agricultural issues in China. Zeihan also explores the evolving energy landscape and the complexities of military power dynamics in the South China Sea, urging listeners to prepare for an uncertain economic future.
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China's Demographic Crisis
- China's demographics are the worst globally, due to overcounting and the one-child policy.
- Their population will likely drop below 650 million by 2050, leading to system collapse.
Urbanization and Birth Rates
- Urbanization and education reduce birth rates as children become less economically valuable.
- Women gain opportunities beyond motherhood, impacting family planning decisions.
China's Food Security
- China faces a potential food collapse due to reliance on fertilizers and African swine fever.
- Disruptions to fertilizer supply will impact global agriculture for a decade.
