Astral Codex Ten Podcast Links For September 2024
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Oct 1, 2024 Dive into the complexities of kidney donor compensation and genetic personality traits, uncovering how historical influences shaped early Christianity. Explore how ultra-Orthodox norms affect fertility in Israel and the political implications of legal training in the U.S. Delve into the heated debates on drug decriminalization, global socio-political challenges, and the philosophical questions of belief systems. Unpack pressing issues like anti-Semitic attacks and the ethics of online advertising, all while navigating the landscape of Rationalist thought and the evolving political scene.
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The Internet Shapes Political Extremes
- Online political movements often radicalize into factions demanding public denunciations from peers.
- The medium shapes politics so strangers who live online drive intense moral signaling.
Courts Often Decide Policy Outcomes
- Legal challenges routinely shape policy as agencies adopt rules and courts later overturn them.
- Prediction market law is affected by agency rulings and subsequent court reversals.
Forecasting Debates About Risk And Models
- Nate Silver's book and model spark debate on risk intelligence versus exploiting system advantages.
- His election model gave Trump ~61% by pricing a convention bounce, a contested methodological choice.