The Synopsis

Monologue. CSU Comments, plus AppFolio, Meta, & LVMH Updates

18 snips
Feb 5, 2026
A rapid monologue covers LVMH's Q4 revenue and currency headwinds. AppFolio’s accelerating revenue, unit pricing and AI adoption get a close look. Meta’s strong topline, DAU growth, rising costs, capex and AI-driven ad lifts are discussed. There is also a valuation diatribe on trailing versus forward multiples and a quick note on Constellation Software context.
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INSIGHT

Constellation's Moat Is Operational, Not Technical

  • Constellation's moat isn't about complex software; it's about ownership, operations, and customer relationships.
  • Drew Cohen notes CNSFW trades near prior multiples despite 150% FCF growth over three years.
ADVICE

Screen Widely, Research Deeply

  • Use short-form research to screen ideas and then commit deeper resources to the interesting ones.
  • Drew Cohen converted a YouTube/five-minute pipeline into a full Speedwell Research report for Adobe.
INSIGHT

LVMH: Durable Luxury Facing A Currency Trough

  • LVMH is cyclical with current currency and post-COVID cooling pressures reducing reported revenue.
  • Drew expects normalized multiples in the low-20s and durable mid/high-single-digit growth over time.
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