Today, Explained

Trump has lost the Iran war hawks

87 snips
Mar 28, 2026
John Bolton, former UN ambassador and Trump national security adviser, joins to dissect Trump’s sudden turn on Iran. He talks about why he wanted regime change, but not this version. The conversation digs into shaky war planning, a wounded but dangerous Tehran, fractures needed for collapse, and why Trump’s chaotic decision-making worries even longtime hawks.
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INSIGHT

Bolton Says Trump Started An Iran War Without A Plan

  • John Bolton says he wanted regime change in Iran, but argues Donald Trump launched toward it without preparing the public, Congress, allies, or Iranian opposition.
  • Bolton says military planning looked competent, yet no parallel effort organized dissidents with money, arms, telecoms, or a coalition to finish the job.
ANECDOTE

Bolton Recalls Trump Rejecting Regime Change Before

  • John Bolton says he and others argued for regime change in Trump's first term, but Trump stuck to maximum economic pressure and publicly opposed regime change.
  • Bolton says Trump already knew Iran could retaliate through the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz, making today's surprise implausible.
INSIGHT

A Half Finished War Could Produce A Harder Regime

  • Bolton argues a limited campaign that wounds Tehran without toppling it could leave a more dangerous regime determined to rebuild nuclear and proxy capabilities.
  • He says real regime change had to come from inside Iran through defections, fractures at the top, and preexisting coordination with opposition figures.
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