Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

2026 Starting Pitcher Preview, Part 1

28 snips
Feb 4, 2026
They break down the top 25–30 starting pitchers by recent NFBC draft ADP in short ADP-based tiers. They debate early pitcher picks, injury risks, and durability for arms like Skubal and deGrom. The conversation highlights Stuff+ model shifts, young high-upside but fragile arms, and who might rise after role or team changes.
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
INSIGHT

Top-50 Starters Are Health-Weighted

  • Many top-50 ADP starters carry notable injury or workload questions (Sale, DeGrom, Gilbert, etc.).
  • Draft strategy should explicitly weigh health grades and IL slot availability when targeting these arms.
INSIGHT

Pitch Design And Biomechanics Matter

  • Max Fried moved up in ranks after the Yankees and pitch-design changes improved his arsenal and biomechanics.
  • Mechanical and pitch-mix adjustments can reliably transform a pitcher's outcome and injury profile.
ADVICE

Draft Fit Depends On League Scoring

  • Match pitcher profile to your league settings (innings caps, strikeout value, points formats).
  • Logan Webb suits innings-focused, non-K leagues; avoid him where early strikeouts are decisive.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app