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#597 | The Global Housing Crisis Explained

Feb 26, 2026
They trace how cheap credit and global investors turned homes into a financial safe haven. They explore supply constraints like planning rules, NIMBYism, and developers holding land. They discuss local drivers such as short-term rentals and residency-for-investment schemes. They consider how rising rates, inherited housing wealth, and demographic changes locked many people out of buying.
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INSIGHT

When Housing Stopped Tracking Wages

  • House prices decoupled from wages after the late 1990s as mortgages became larger and cheaper.
  • From being affordable on one salary, homes in major cities began costing many years of wages, e.g., London went from ~4 to ~13 years of wages.
INSIGHT

Monthly Payments Replaced Price As The Focus

  • Cheap credit and lower interest rates shifted affordability from price to monthly mortgage payments, enabling bigger loans.
  • Estate agents sold homes based on manageable monthly payments, which fuelled higher headline prices as long as rates stayed low.
INSIGHT

Housing Became A Global Safe Asset

  • Housing became a global safe asset as international capital chased stable returns after 2008 interventions.
  • Pension funds and wealthy investors treat property across cities similarly if legal systems and stability are strong.
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