HousingWire Daily Home prices and why Trump might be waiting to name a Fed chair
Jan 28, 2026
Logan Mohtashami, a lead housing analyst known for data-driven home price and mortgage forecasts. He breaks down mortgage spreads and why many misread them. He explains noisy month-to-month housing data versus forward trackers. He revisits the mid-2024 market shift, shares a 2026 baseline for home prices, and discusses Fed posture and timing around naming a Fed chair.
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Loan-Originator Father Asks Basic Questions
- Logan Mohtashami shared a recurring personal story about his father asking basic mortgage spread questions unexpectedly.
- The anecdote illustrates how even industry veterans can miss details and how Logan frequently educates peers and family.
Case-Shiller Lags Masked Mid-2025 Price Firming
- Logan argues month-to-month Case-Shiller moves misled many commentators because the index lags and missed mid-2025 firming.
- He says forward-looking tracker data showed prices stabilizing before traditional indices caught up, exposing poor analysis.
Use Live Trackers, Not Noisy Month-To-Month Takes
- Follow live tracker data like Altos or HousingWire's tracker instead of noisy month-to-month takes from fringe sources.
- Use local zip-code data to make decisions because national indices trail and can misrepresent current conditions.