Hidden Forces

The Battle Over Semiconductors & US-China Competition | Chris Miller

Oct 3, 2022
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INSIGHT

Taiwan's Outsized Role In Computing

  • Taiwan supplies about one-third of new global computing power and 90% of the most advanced processor chips.
  • A war around Taiwan would cripple industries from autos to smartphones by halting advanced-chip exports.
INSIGHT

Interdependence Is Not A Foolproof Deterrent

  • Economic interdependence may not prevent conflict if leaders prioritize political or nationalistic goals over GDP.
  • Russia's war and China's recent domestic policy changes weaken the mutual-assured-economic-destruction argument.
INSIGHT

The Mechanical Roots Of Moore's Law

  • Moore's Law reflects shrinking transistors, falling cost per transistor, and rising energy efficiency driven by design and manufacturing advances.
  • Progress depends on complex design software and extraordinarily precise machine tools that move atoms and layer chemicals.
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