Playing For Keeps Playing For Keeps Episode 4 With Shaidy Advice
Mar 14, 2024
Shaidy Advice (Keith) is a top-ranked DFS player and data scientist, known for his analytical approach. He reflects on his late start in DFS and the pivotal role of Whistles in his journey. Keith shares insights on his competitive nature and how his background in data science shapes his strategies. He discusses his strengths in NFL Showdown and emphasizes learning through a methodical process. With a unique perspective on payout structures and the future of DFS, he offers sage advice for newcomers, focusing on enjoying the game while improving fundamentals.
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Episode notes
Three P Process: Projections, Pool, Portfolio
- Keith frames his process as three P's: projections, pool, and portfolio management to minimize risk.
- He relies heavily on public sims for projections and pools and layers his own portfolio code on top.
Don't Mean-Aggregate Projections
- Avoid averaging projections blindly because conflicting forecasts reflect different possible game states.
- Treat differing site projections as scenarios rather than a simple mean to preserve edge.
Avoid Duping Yourself Across Lineups
- When adding multiple lineups, avoid duplicating exposures that will win together and cannibalize returns.
- Pick lineups that win in distinct outcomes so you capture external field money rather than your own.