Bulwark Takes

Trump Goes to War: Iran Strike Breaks Promise of No Regime Change

13 snips
Feb 28, 2026
Mark Hertling, retired U.S. Army lieutenant general and military analyst, gives a frontline military perspective. He discusses escalation risks, allied reactions, and the challenges of strikes without clear political aims. Short-term tactics versus long-term strategy, regional fallout, and the limits of special operations all come up in concise, urgent conversation.
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INSIGHT

Trump's New Foreign Policy Pattern

  • The strikes reflect a new Trump foreign policy of activist regime-targeting rather than great-power confrontation.
  • Jonathan V. Last argued Trump avoids China/Russia but uses military force to reshape leadership in unfavored states, with Israel heavily driving the move.
INSIGHT

Administration Now Acknowledges Casualty Risk

  • Trump signaled potential U.S. casualties for the first time, suggesting recognition this is a different, riskier campaign.
  • Hertling noted the president's prepared public for casualties, implying advisors expect a tough slog.
INSIGHT

Legal Risk And Ally Confusion

  • The operation risks turning the U.S. into an international pariah absent a clear legal justification.
  • Mark Hertling warned allies are confused and some partners and veterans are texting shock, undermining coalition credibility.
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