DIY War, Oil, and a Market in Denial

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The hosts revive a "day in history" segment highlighting William Tyndale's 1523 English Bible translation and argue that Sir Thomas More, though revered as a saint, used authorities to hunt down and execute Tyndale. They then discuss the speaker's recent luncheon talk in Argentina for Rand Paul during his visit, where he said Javier Milei's election is historically important but criticized Milei for not acting like an anarcho-capitalist, citing failures such as not abolishing the central bank, moving Argentina's gold abroad, buying used F-16s, seeking NATO/Ukraine/Israel ties, and keeping foreign exchange controls. They note a $96 homemade MANPADS prototype as evidence of democratized warfare, then assess the US-Iran conflict's changing warfare dynamics, vulnerability of carriers, and risks from Strait of Hormuz disruptions, UAE and Houthi escalation, and attacks on Russian facilities, warning of recession/depression amid rising rates, private credit stress, an AI/data-center bubble, and overvalued markets, while remaining bullish but cautious on gold, gold stocks, and select oil stocks.

00:00 This Day in History Returns 00:24 Tyndale and English Bible 02:48 Saint Thomas More Exposed 04:35 Speech for Rand Paul 05:31 Milei Not Walking Talk 06:45 Gold and Central Bank 08:11 F-16s and NATO Drift 10:52 DIY Manpad and Weapons 12:44 Iran War Lessons 14:21 Carriers and Tankers Vulnerable 15:06 Trump Hegseth and War Spin 19:54 Why War Won't End 20:43 War Versus Energy Shock 22:03 UAE Escalation Risks 23:24 Houthis and Red Sea Chokepoints 24:31 Ukraine Strikes and Blowback 25:48 Iranian Resolve and Retaliation 27:15 Israel and Nuclear Escalation 29:32 Oil Flow and Debt Spiral 31:28 Private Credit and AI Bubble 35:40 Markets in Denial 38:54 Gold and Oil Positioning 40:33 Democratized Warfare Ahead 41:28 Wrap Up and Next Episode