Vancouver Real Estate Podcast

VREP #504 | Toronto's Real Estate Market Is The Worst It's Ever Been And Here's What It Means For All Of Canada With Daniel Foch And Nick Hill

Feb 20, 2026
Nick Hill, a commercial mortgage broker advising on financing and CMHC programs, and Daniel Foch, a Toronto agent and market analyst, break down Toronto's historic downturn. They discuss who is most hurt, which segments still hold up, the auto‑corridor risks, AI's impact on jobs and real estate workflows, and where investors might still find value across Canada.
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ANECDOTE

Speculator Losses From Pre‑Construction Bets

  • Many speculators who bought multiple pre‑construction units are facing catastrophic losses and may never recover financially.
  • Daniel Foch calls these buyers 'toast' and compares their position to a lifelong financial mistake.
INSIGHT

Sentiment Has Fully Reversed

  • Market sentiment flipped from irrational exuberance to extreme pessimism; many realtors are now more bearish than contrarians like Daniel Foch.
  • That reversal itself is a strong indicator of how deep the correction is.
INSIGHT

Auto Tariffs Hit Toronto Hard

  • Toronto's exposure to the auto sector and potential tariffs makes its job market and housing demand particularly vulnerable.
  • Downstream layoffs in parts suppliers and consumer spending amplify the housing downturn along the 401 corridor.
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