Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

A Market "Retrenchment" Ahead Looks Likely | Jonathan Wellum

32 snips
Mar 22, 2026
Jonathan Wellum, founder and CEO of Rocklinc Investment Partners and Canadian financial advisor, discusses rising oil and energy costs and how they raise the odds of a market retrenchment. He covers market narrowness, recession and stagflation risks, geopolitical decoupling and resource shifts, and practical positioning like cash, duration, and precious metals exposure.
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ADVICE

Reassess Holdings Against Original Thesis

  • Revisit your original investment thesis for each holding and only hold assets whose fundamentals remain intact.
  • Use volatility to dollar cost average into positions you still believe in and avoid buying high and selling low.
ADVICE

Build Portfolios With Liquidity And Sell Discipline

  • Prepare clients for large drawdowns by building portfolios with non-volatile assets for short-term needs and a clear sell discipline.
  • Trim profit-heavy sectors (e.g., precious metals after big runs) and reallocate to maintain balanced risk.
INSIGHT

Fundamentals Trump Technicals Amid Multiple Headwinds

  • Jonathan prioritizes fundamental, bottoms-up value analysis over technicals but acknowledges fundamentals point toward downside risk.
  • He cites energy cost inflation, geopolitical disruption, private credit gating, and high leverage as combined recessionary pressures.
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