Redacted News WW3 Is Here, Trump Could Use War Powers for 3rd Term? Prof. Jiang | Redacted
Mar 24, 2026
Professor Jiang, a Beijing high school teacher and author of the Predictive History Substack known for game-theory forecasting, issues a stark warning about modern conflict. He draws Vietnam parallels and maps an escalation ladder. He critiques air-power assumptions, outlines Iran’s asymmetric resilience, and flags elite manipulation and mission creep as drivers of prolonged war.
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Learn Predictive Models To Increase Agency
- Jiang urges citizens to learn predictive models and game theory to gain agency over geopolitical outcomes.
- He frames his channel as an educational tool to move people from passivity to informed decision making about global events.
Iran's Asymmetric Escalation Advantage
- Iran exercises escalation control by calibrated, asymmetric strikes instead of blunt shock-and-awe, preserving diplomacy and public opinion.
- Jiang contrasts U.S./Israeli blunt bombing with Iran's targeted military and maritime actions like Strait of Hormuz control.
Morale Is A Strategic Constraint For The U.S.
- Morale and public support are major war consequences; low U.S. support and troop morale constrain long campaigns.
- Jiang cites incidents like complaints against commanders and alleged fires on USS Gerald R. Ford as signs of low U.S. military morale.