
The Red Line 126 - Armenia’s Changing Relationship with Russia
Oct 24, 2024
In this discussion, Oleysa Vartanyan, a regional security analyst, Laurence Broers from Chatham House, and Thomas De Waal of Carnegie Europe dissect Armenia's shifting ties with Russia post-Nagorno-Karabakh war. They explore Armenia's quest for new alliances, like those with France and India, while still facing economic dependencies on Moscow. The panel highlights the complexities of Armenia's historical context, its reliance on Russian military support, and the ongoing geopolitical tensions with Azerbaijan, emphasizing the delicate balance Armenia must maintain.
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CSTO's Limited Credibility
- The CSTO functioned more as a Moscow-centered management tool than a reliable collective security guarantor.
- Armenia calling for CSTO support produced little practical defence, revealing the alliance's limits.
Forced Diversification Of Arms
- Russia's war in Ukraine forced Armenia to diversify arms suppliers as Russian supplies collapsed.
- Armenia turned to France, India, Greece and the Czech Republic for weapons and support.
Pivot To The World, Not One Power
- Pivot to multiple partners rather than choose between Russia and the West to safeguard sovereignty.
- Build diversified economic and security ties with many states to reduce single-point dependencies.

