The Ben Shapiro Show Ep. 2403 - Yes, We’re STILL Winning: Trump’s Iran Plan, And What Comes Next
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Apr 10, 2026 A deep dive into Trump’s declared ceasefire with Iran and what strategic aims it may serve. Discussion of Iran’s military damage, the Strait of Hormuz dynamics, and why Iran’s own demands were unrealistic. Analysis of reactions from Europe, U.S. political factions, and how negotiators frame red lines like enrichment. Brief cultural asides and a promo for a related deep-dive series.
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Oil Market Reaction Validates Ceasefire Effect
- Markets reacted to the ceasefire: Brent and WTI crude spiked above $115 then fell below $100 after Trump's announcement, indicating the declaration eased energy-risk premiums.
- Shapiro uses the immediate oil-price drop as evidence the ceasefire reduced perceived supply disruption risk.
Operational Reasons For A Temporary Pause
- Shapiro lists practical reasons for pausing strikes: demonstrate goodwill, pressure Iran diplomatically, allow US forces to repair and replenish after continuous sorties.
- He emphasizes the pause is limited (two weeks) to test Iranian compliance before any further escalation.
Strait Closure Is Iran's Last Gasp Of Leverage
- Shapiro argues Iran's attacks on shipping are a sign of weakness: they only resort to choking Hormuz because other leverage (proxies, strikes on Gulf states) was neutralized.
- He details destroyed Iranian capabilities: ballistic missile sites, command nodes, and industrial targets making internal collapse plausible.