Current Bear Market Rally To Bring "More Pain This Year" | Tom McClellan

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May 25, 2025

Tom McClellan, a seasoned technical analyst and ex-Army helicopter pilot, dives into the turbulent currents of today's financial markets. He discusses the recent bear market rally, questioning its longevity and predicting more pain ahead. McClellan shares insights on market liquidity, the effects of oil prices, and the psychological factors driving investor behavior. He also emphasizes the significance of historical trends and technical indicators in navigating this volatile landscape, and hints at opportunities in the agricultural sector for savvy investors.

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INSIGHT

Unusual Market Breadth Signals

The New York Stock Exchange advanced decline line's new all-time high signals strong market breadth and liquidity.
This strength is unusual for the first year of a new presidential term from a different party, conflicting with typical market cycles.

INSIGHT

Junk Bonds Signal Liquidity Stress

The corporate high yield bond advanced decline line lags stocks, indicating liquidity may be tightening despite stock breadth strength.
Divergences in this bond data can be reversed, which may change bearish warnings into neutral signals.

INSIGHT

Zweig Breadth Thrust Signals Bullishness

The Zweig breadth thrust signal marks sharp shifts from weak to strong market breadth and often precedes bullish moves.
However, exceptions occur where signals precede lower market lows before an eventual uptrend, suggesting caution.

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Wall Street is loudly wondering: was the drop in March-April simply a correction in an otherwise intact bull market?Or...was the recovery in May a bear market rally, one now poised to roll over?When markets are as volatile and the macro outlook as uncertain as we've seen in the past few months, turning to the data & navigating by what it's telling us is often highly useful.Which is why we're fortunate to have one of the best technical analysts in the industry, Tom McClellan, joining us today to share his latest interpretation of the current market action.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bullmarket #bearmarket #technicalanalysis _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.