It's A Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind China’s Population Collapse, 2026 Election Polls & America’s Census Shake-Up
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Jan 23, 2026 A data-driven tour of China’s collapsing birth rate and its ripple effects on workforce, economy, and global power. Fresh polling on the 2026 race and which issues and demographics are shifting the political map. New census numbers reveal state population shifts and how immigration is reshaping representation and policy.
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Policy Alone Won't Reverse Low Births
- Policy changes (lifting the one-child rule) failed to reverse falling births; cultural and economic forces dominate.
- Girdusky argues fiscal structures like pensions decoupled from childbearing worsen long-term demographic incentives.
Diverging Global Fertility Trends
- Global fertility trends are diverging: Africa's and some developing nations' populations grow while much of Asia and Europe shrink.
- Girdusky links these shifts to future economic and geopolitical power realignments.
Use Policy Incentives To Encourage Births
- Tie long-term social benefits to childbearing to strengthen demographic incentives, Girdusky suggests.
- He proposes policy levers like linking pensions to having children to counteract decline.