
PREVIEW: Realpolitik #46 | Europe’s Slow Motion Collapse
May 11, 2026
A geopolitical tour of Europe’s strategic vulnerabilities around the Mediterranean and Black Sea. Discussion of Turkey, Cyprus and key islands like Crete, Malta and Sicily. Analysis of North African and Turkish economic-military pressures. Examination of historic maritime patterns and EU policy choices that may weaken Europe’s naval edge.
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Mediterranean Is Europe’s Geopolitical Achilles Heel
- Europe’s strategic vulnerability stems from the Mediterranean as the gateway where land and sea power meet.
- Firas Modad highlights Turkey/Anatolia and islands like Cyprus and Crete as decisive choke points controlling access to Europe.
Historical Examples Show Why Maritime Control Matters
- Firas Modad recounts historical precedent where control of Mediterranean islands enabled empires to secure Europe.
- He cites Byzantine Constantinople, Roman Mare Nostrum strategy, and Julius Caesar’s pirate incident as concrete examples.
EU Policies Are Creating Strategic Dependencies
- Modern European policymakers ignore Mediterranean strategy and instead fund development in North African and Middle Eastern states.
- Firas Modad argues this creates dependency and transfers resources to states that could later threaten Europe.
