The Hope Axis by Anna Gát Noah Smith: Culture, War, The Future
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Jul 18, 2024 
Join economist and public intellectual Noah Smith as he navigates the future of geopolitics and culture. He discusses the parallels between today's global unrest and the tumultuous 1970s, explores the unique role of the pandemic in reshaping beliefs about government, and emphasizes China's manufacturing might. Noah also dives into India's potential for industrial growth, evaluates the unexpected unity in Europe's response to Ukraine, and expresses optimism about the clean energy transition. Get ready for an engaging exploration of the complexities shaping our world!
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End Of The WWII Generation Shifted Politics
- The death of the World War II generation removed a living memory that restrained extreme geopolitical thinking.
- Smith says that fading personal memory reshaped political norms and lowered barriers to illiberal ideas.
Size And Production Trump Tech Myths
- Population size and production capacity matter enormously in great-power competition.
- Smith contends China now outmatches the U.S. in raw size and production, making strategic parity unlikely in decades.
Taiwan Will Fight — China Is Cautious
- Taiwan will resist assimilation and fight, but resistance doesn't guarantee victory.
- Smith believes China is cautious because it's large and prefers production advantages over reckless invasion.