Judging Freedom

Larry Johnson : The Metrics Behind Russia’s Coming Victory

Jan 26, 2026
Larry Johnson, former intelligence analyst focused on national security, lays out metrics and analysis about the Russia–Ukraine conflict. He highlights casualty ratios, training shortfalls, and resource gaps. He challenges optimistic assessments and argues Russia’s campaign is deliberate and gaining ground.
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ADVICE

Avoid Bringing Guns To Protests

  • Do not bring a firearm to a protest because it creates unnecessary danger and provocation.
  • If you do carry, only reveal a gun when your life or others' lives face imminent threat.
ADVICE

Make Lethal Force A Last Resort

  • Train to de-escalate and avoid using lethal force unless faced with imminent deadly harm.
  • As a firearms instructor, Larry Johnson stresses restraint and proper engagement rules for officers and civilians.
INSIGHT

Casualty Ratio Favors Russia

  • Russia's casualty ratio dramatically favors Russia with roughly one Russian fatality per 35 Ukrainian fatalities over a year.
  • Such asymmetric losses erode Ukraine's ability to sustain frontline defense and recruit trained replacements.
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