
New Books in Public Policy Suzanne Mettler and Trevor E. Brown, "Rural Versus Urban: The Growing Divide That Threatens Democracy" (Princeton UP, 2025)
Mar 14, 2026
Trevor E. Brown, political scientist studying polarization and place-based inequality, discusses his coauthored book on the growing rural–urban political divide. He traces how economic shifts, local institutions, and organizational mobilization deepened the split. He also examines institutional advantages, racial dynamics, democratic risks, and strategies for rebuilding local political organizations.
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Rural And Urban Voting Diverged Since The 1990s
- The rural–urban political gap widened sharply from the 1990s, with rural areas shifting Republican while Democrats concentrated in large metros.
- By 2024 county-level presidential voting showed ~20-point divergence, driven more by party alignment than large issue opinion differences.
Sequential Polarization Links Economics Then Culture
- Sequential polarization explains timing: economic decline in rural places came first, then cultural resentment and organizational mobilization deepened partisan sorting.
- Place-based job and population loss in the 1990s pushed rural voters toward Republicans, while churches and issue groups cemented the shift after 2008.
Policy Process Often Triggers Rural Backlash
- Process and perceived exclusion matter as much as policy substance; secretive or top-down policymaking in rural areas fuels backlash.
- Examples include gun safety and renewable energy projects where lack of consultation provoked local rejection.



