Economist Podcasts Poised and confused: the will-he-won’t-he of Iran strikes
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Feb 26, 2026 
Gregg Carlstrom, Middle East correspondent with Iran and regional security expertise, outlines the military buildup, possible US strike options and how Iran might retaliate. Annie Crabill, senior digital editor, traces the lead-up to the US civil war and key turning points. Alexandra Suich Bass, culture editor, offers sharp film and TV picks. Multiple short conversations cover strategy, history and entertainment.
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Largest US Buildup Since 2003 Enables Sustained Strikes
- The US military buildup in the Middle East is the largest since 2003, positioning Washington to carry out sustained air campaigns if ordered.
- Gregg Carlstrom details carrier arrivals, dozens of jets and bombers, and regional air defenses that enable days-or-weeks operations.
Protests And Threats Sparked The Military Build Up
- The immediate trigger was December protests in Tehran and Trump's social-media warnings to Iran not to kill peaceful protesters.
- Carlstrom recounts Iran killed thousands and Trump then ordered the regional military buildup starting with carriers.
Focus Diplomacy On Realistic Nuclear-Only Terms
- Do not expect comprehensive demands on missiles and proxies to be negotiable; focus diplomacy on nuclear-only terms if you want progress.
- Carlstrom warns Iran flatly refuses to discuss ballistic missiles or proxy activity.