
The News Agents - USA How Trump screwed the world economy
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Mar 26, 2026 Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize–winning economist and New York Times columnist, weighs in with sharp analysis. He discusses suspicious pre-announcement trading tied to Trump's Iran claim. He explains how market moves and oil shocks from a Hormuz shutdown could ripple globally. He also considers why investigations seem unlikely.
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Insider Trading Spike Before Trump's Iran Claim
- Unusual trading volumes 15 minutes before Trump's Iran statement strongly suggest insider trading.
- Paul Krugman cites spikes in WTI oil futures and S&P mini futures at 6:49 then Trump's 7:05 announcement as hard circumstantial evidence involving >$0.5bn trades.
One Billionaire Can Move Futures Markets
- An individual billionaire or small cabal could move futures markets with a single timed trade.
- Krugman notes the sums are in a range where one wealthy investor close to Trump could plausibly have executed the action.
Political Limits On Investigations
- Expect no serious investigation while Trump remains in office.
- Krugman argues the administration rarely probes wrongdoing by political allies, so any probe would likely wait for a future administration.

