The Inside Story Podcast Can Trump’s offer to lift sanctions bring Turkiye and the US closer?
Sep 26, 2025
In this discussion, Alan Makovsky, a seasoned policy analyst, and Baran Koyolu, an expert in international relations, delve into the potential thaw in U.S.-Turkey relations. They explore Trump's proposal to lift sanctions on Turkey in exchange for halting Russian oil purchases. Topics include the intricate dynamics of leader-to-leader diplomacy between Trump and Erdogan, the economic implications for Turkey, and the broader geopolitical impacts on regional stability and energy security. Their insights reveal a complex interplay of interests shaping the future of these two nations.
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US-Turkey Reset Strengthens Neighborhood
- Direct US-Turkey dialogue can stabilise wider regions like the South Caucasus, says Ahmad Shahidov.
- Shahidov argues alignment deters exploitation by Russia, Iran, or the EU and reduces regional fragility.
Trade Tilt Slightly Favors Turkey
- Deepening trade benefits both sides but currently favours Turkey slightly according to Baran Koyolu.
- Turkey aims ambitiously to raise bilateral trade with the US toward a $100 billion target formed under previous administrations.
Tariff Rollbacks Could Be Limited Gesture
- US officials view some past Turkish tariffs as unfair and might consider partial rollback as a goodwill gesture.
- Alan Makovsky suggests a modest reduction back toward prior tariff levels could be possible but not guaranteed.