Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Daybreak Holiday: Fed Independence, Market Outlook, Retail Breakdown

24 snips
Sep 1, 2025
Lori Calvasina, Head of U.S. Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, shares her insights on stock market trends and investor sentiment as the year progresses. Burt Flickinger, Managing Director at Strategic Resource Group, discusses the retail landscape, highlighting the shift towards low-end retailers and new consumer behaviors in the back-to-school season. Both experts analyze the economic pressures faced by consumers and how these dynamics could influence market strategies moving forward.
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INSIGHT

Valuation Problem Is Concentrated, Not Universal

  • Market valuation is concentrated in top mega-cap names while median and equal-weight valuations look reasonable.
  • The AI trade is driving concentration; broader indices aren't uniformly expensive.
ADVICE

Don't Overweight Small Caps Without Macro Support

  • Respect small-cap momentum but avoid long-term overweight without economic improvement.
  • Use neutral allocations until GDP, payrolls, or ISM show sustained acceleration.
INSIGHT

Leading Indicators Signal A Slowdown

  • Leading indicators point to below-trend growth and a slowdown into 2026.
  • The market may favor high-quality mega-cap growth names if activity remains weak.
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