Intelligent Design the Future

Rob Stadler: Six Criteria for High-Confidence Science

24 snips
Mar 16, 2026
Rob Stadler, a medical engineer and inventor with ~30 years in medical devices, outlines six criteria for high-confidence science. He explains how medicine’s evidence hierarchies inform broader scientific standards. Short segments cover repeatability, direct measurement, prospective control, bias reduction, disclosed assumptions, and making appropriately hedged claims.
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ADVICE

Prefer Direct Measurable Evidence

  • Use direct, measurable observations instead of indirect proxies whenever possible.
  • Rob contrasts feeling for fever with a thermometer and studying the moon directly versus inferring black hole properties indirectly.
ADVICE

Design Studies Prospectively To Control Confounders

  • Plan studies prospectively to control confounding factors and support causal claims.
  • Rob explains prospective design lets you control conditions, while retrospective analyses only show association.
INSIGHT

Split Criteria Into Experiment And Scientist Quality

  • Stadler groups his six criteria into two halves: the first three judge experiment quality, the last three judge scientist quality.
  • This framing clarifies that strong science needs both robust methods and disciplined researchers.
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