Squiz Today Squiz Shortcuts: One Nation’s rise in the polls
Feb 3, 2026
A fast run-through of One Nation’s polling surge and why it is reshaping the political right. Discussion of Coalition splits, party defections and voters drifting from regional Nationals to minor parties. Comparison to international far-right gains and the demographic and policy shifts driving the change.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
One Nation's Rapid Poll Surge
- One Nation's primary vote jumped from about 6.5% to roughly 22% since the election, overtaking the Coalition in some polls.
- Multiple polling firms show the pattern, indicating a sustained shift rather than a one-off blip.
Fragmentation Fuels Rightward Drift
- Right-wing voters are drifting from a fracturing Coalition toward One Nation amid internal Liberal–National conflict.
- That trend mirrors wider Western democracies where immigration-driven parties are gaining ground.
Who Is Switching To One Nation
- Demos AU found One Nation's gains mainly come from over-55s in rural areas without university degrees.
- This demographic traditionally supported the Nationals, so the shift weakens the Coalition's base.