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OpinionPod: Venezuelan economy did not collapse overnight. 4 decades of stagnation is the cause

Jan 11, 2026
Venezuela's crisis isn't a sudden collapse but the result of four decades of stagnation. Political chaos followed the U.S. military operation, leading to a new leadership under Delcy Rodríguez. Historical oil booms provided temporary income but failed to create lasting growth. The country faced a classic resource curse, prioritizing consumption over investment. While sanctions intensified suffering, they weren't the root cause of the decline. Understanding this long-term stagnation reveals why the current humanitarian crisis seems so abrupt.
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INSIGHT

Crisis Born From Four Decades

  • Venezuela's current crisis is the result of long-term stagnation rather than a sudden collapse.
  • Bidisha Bhattacharya highlights four decades of virtually no trend growth as the core issue.
INSIGHT

Starting From Relative Affluence

  • In 1980 Venezuela was among the richest in South America by GDP per capita (PPP).
  • Bidisha shows it started with advantages comparable to Argentina and ahead of Brazil and Colombia.
INSIGHT

Overtaken, Not Fallen

  • By 2023 Venezuela's PPP income barely changed while neighbors advanced significantly.
  • The result is Venezuela being overtaken rather than having a dramatic fall.
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