Behind The Lines with Arthur Snell Back by popular demand: Charlie Gammell on the latest in Iran
Mar 10, 2026
Charlie Gammell, Iran expert, former diplomat and historian, offers sharp analysis of Tehran's shifting strategies. He examines why strikes target civilian energy, the rise of Mojtaba Khamenei and IRGC influence, internal power splits, Iran's drone asymmetry, Gulf states' pressures, and the lack of credible post-regime plans. Short, focused takes on risks, escalation, and possible paths to talks.
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Appointment Signals Hardline Continuity
- Mojtaba Khamenei's appointment signals IRGC-aligned continuity rather than theological legitimacy.
- He rose through ideologically zealous IRGC networks, forged ties with Qasem Soleimani, and shaped the 2009 and January protest crackdowns.
Supreme Leader Role Is Above The Fray
- The supreme leader role functions like a constitutional monarch above daily politics, letting the IRGC exercise control while preserving clerical legitimacy.
- Mojtaba must unify fractured elites and avoid appearing too involved as his father once did in 2009.
Iran's Power Is Split Between IRGC And Elected Officials
- Power in Iran is bifurcated: a hardline IRGC pillar versus elected politicians and ministries.
- The IRGC (Praetorian Guard) enforces the revolution and increasingly sidelines elected de‑escalators like the president.