On The Tape with Danny Moses

Michael Green (@ProfPlum99): Providing Clues to Solve These Markets

20 snips
Feb 11, 2026
Michael Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management and author of the Substack Yes, I Give a Fig, joins to dissect market structure and the power of flows. He tackles passive investing concentration, why small-market flows move prices, the tensions between wealth, rates and collateral, plus skepticism on Bitcoin and notes on gold, the dollar and AI's labor effects.
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INSIGHT

Flows Trump Fundamentals

  • Equity markets are driven more by flows than fundamentals, especially with passive dominance.
  • After positioning settles, 401(k) contributions and buybacks become the main price drivers.
INSIGHT

Fed Change Could Trigger A Correction

  • Deteriorating economic data plus a new Fed chair could spark a significant correction.
  • Warsh may cut rates aggressively if growth weakens, which could undermine wealthy fiscal transfers.
INSIGHT

Bitcoin Moves With ETF Flows

  • Bitcoin price action is dominated by ETF flows with a >75% explanatory power.
  • Crypto is a collateral asset heavily owned by younger, economically pressured cohorts.
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