Daniel Davis Deep Dive Iran Not Buckling, Not Giving In /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Steve Jermy
Feb 27, 2026
Steve Jermy, former Royal Navy Commodore and combat aviator, offers expert analysis on naval and air power. He explains carrier strengths and limits, risks of saturation from missiles and drones, and why air-sea strikes alone likely cannot force regime change. They discuss unintended escalations, underground missile networks, political pressures toward war, and why restraint and negotiation matter.
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Diplomacy Fracturing Over Nonnegotiables
- Diplomacy appears to be collapsing as Iran insists negotiations only cover nuclear issues and will not suspend enrichment.
- Steve Jermy notes both sides see different non-negotiables, making last-minute talks unlikely to succeed.
Volume Attacks Can Overwhelm Air Defenses
- Massive Iranian missile and drone waves could overwhelm layered air defenses protecting Israel.
- Steve Jermy warns carriers and destroyers provide layered defense but can be saturated by hundreds of incoming drones/cruise missiles.
Carriers Limited Against Ballistic And Hypersonic Threats
- Carrier air wings can defend against drones and cruise missiles but lack effective ballistic and hypersonic defenses.
- Jermy says F-15/F-35 CAPs plus ship missiles help, yet ballistic and hypersonic threats remain largely unchecked.