Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

The Metal Trade That Could Unlock AGI ft. Jordi Visser

21 snips
Feb 5, 2026
Jordi Visser, head of AI macro nexus research at 22V, breaks down how AI is reshaping materials, geopolitics and markets. He highlights silver as a critical industrial metal. They explore the $85T AI build-out, mineral-driven commodity cycles, supply constraints from rival powers, and why energy, grids and mining will matter more than software.
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INSIGHT

Duration Risk Grows With AI

  • Long-duration illiquid assets and private investments face risk as AI accelerates time and shortens effective horizons.
  • Raoul Pal warns many long-dated investments may underperform as the world cycles faster.
ANECDOTE

Bitcoin's Rumor-Oriented Moves

  • Raoul Pal recounts thought experiments about Bitcoin's obstacles like an ETF or US acceptance.
  • He notes political and regulatory events often produce 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' dynamics for Bitcoin.
INSIGHT

Follow Component Shortages For Signals

  • Transitions in component shortages have phased the AI supply shock: GPUs then TSMC, DRAM, and now silver.
  • Pal uses these sequences as proxies to track the broader AI-driven demand cycle and Bitcoin correlation.
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